Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.569645 3.793831 4.034276 4.313039 4.629538 4.980432 5.402776
2025-05-11 3.294475 3.603332 3.953434 4.385700 4.914016 5.551550 6.400786
2025-05-18 3.045989 3.403683 3.826656 4.375974 5.090793 6.022630 7.395453
2025-05-25 2.789580 3.164367 3.621143 4.237036 5.078509 6.247524 8.131838
2025-06-01 2.614894 3.006357 3.496716 4.181520 5.162612 6.617616 9.209209
2025-06-08 2.476098 2.880019 3.398261 4.145239 5.263912 7.033194 10.540454
2025-06-15 2.378086 2.797040 3.347251 4.165735 5.449100 7.626811 12.536812
2025-06-22 2.255885 2.672805 3.228875 4.073962 5.442298 7.887361 14.003789
2025-06-29 2.132439 2.539059 3.087120 3.932419 5.332464 7.930510 14.984102
2025-07-06 2.040454 2.442587 2.990847 3.850354 5.310728 8.142512 16.661546
2025-07-13 2.018788 2.440503 3.027773 3.977176 5.672278 9.268937 23.042156
2025-07-20 1.982560 2.415442 3.028578 4.045090 5.938139 10.297885 32.180705
2025-07-27 1.952725 2.403066 3.055173 4.173221 6.380748 12.132112 63.339851
2025-08-03 1.905206 2.362765 3.036809 4.223857 6.684564 13.861142 186.984919
2025-08-10 1.845352 2.301274 2.981325 4.202895 6.831165 15.248695 NaN
2025-08-17 1.765823 2.207026 2.868448 4.066219 6.683685 15.420191 NaN
2025-08-24 1.708911 2.143983 2.801816 4.009732 6.721846 16.483040 NaN
2025-08-31 1.660269 2.091098 2.748321 3.972807 6.803176 17.908073 NaN
2025-09-07 1.625527 2.057521 2.724034 3.989474 7.029862 20.548487 NaN
2025-09-14 1.574182 1.996477 2.650994 3.903189 6.960309 21.332765 NaN
2025-09-21 1.517656 1.925601 2.558492 3.771303 6.742556 20.885823 NaN
2025-09-28 1.474344 1.873673 2.495508 3.694664 6.672097 21.559551 NaN
2025-10-05 1.467679 1.877831 2.526576 3.811622 7.195057 28.752363 NaN